Rajasthan Weather Update: Monsoon Retreat Continues as Dry Conditions Dominate, Check Rain Outlook

Rajasthan is moving toward the closing phase of the southwest monsoon, with dry weather becoming increasingly dominant across the state. As the monsoon retreats from northwestern India, sunshine and higher daytime temperatures are again becoming noticeable, particularly across western Rajasthan.

According to the latest weather information available for September 23, 2026, no major weather warning has been issued for either East Rajasthan or West Rajasthan. Most parts of the state are expected to experience generally dry conditions, although localised changes in cloud cover or isolated precipitation can never be completely ruled out.

Residents should therefore expect predominantly dry weather while continuing to follow updated forecasts, particularly if travelling later in the week.

Monsoon Withdrawal Progresses Across Rajasthan

The southwest monsoon withdrawal process has been progressing over northwestern India.

The India Meteorological Department had earlier indicated that atmospheric conditions were becoming favourable for the withdrawal of the southwest monsoon from parts of western Rajasthan around September 19.

As the withdrawal progresses, moisture levels generally decline and rainfall activity becomes less frequent. Clearer skies can also allow daytime temperatures to rise despite the approaching end of September.

This transition is already being reflected in the hot and mostly dry conditions across several western districts.

Rajasthan Weather on September 23

For September 23, there is no significant weather warning for Rajasthan.

The broad outlook is for predominantly dry weather across the state.

Western Rajasthan is likely to remain particularly hot and dry, while eastern parts of the state may see some variations in cloud cover depending on local atmospheric conditions.

Importantly, the absence of a weather warning does not necessarily mean that absolutely no isolated rain can occur anywhere. It means that IMD has not issued a warning for significant hazardous weather for the period.

No IMD Warning for East or West Rajasthan

The latest IMD warning bulletin issued on September 23 shows “No Warning” for both East Rajasthan and West Rajasthan.

The no-warning status extends through September 29 in the currently available subdivision-level outlook.

This means there is presently no warning for heavy rainfall, thunderstorms or other significant weather events across the two Rajasthan meteorological subdivisions during this period.

Residents should nevertheless monitor short-term forecasts because local weather conditions can change and nowcasts may be updated closer to an event.

Heat Builds Across Western Rajasthan

With rainfall activity declining and skies becoming clearer, western Rajasthan has been experiencing high daytime temperatures.

Recent IMD observations show temperatures reaching around or above 40 degrees Celsius at some western stations.

Jaisalmer, Bikaner, Barmer and neighbouring areas have experienced particularly hot conditions as the monsoon influence weakens.

The combination of stronger sunshine, lower cloud cover and declining monsoon moisture can keep afternoons uncomfortable even though the calendar is moving toward October.

People working outdoors should therefore continue taking normal precautions against prolonged exposure to afternoon heat.

Nights Can Feel Relatively More Comfortable

While afternoons remain hot, minimum temperatures in some parts of Rajasthan are beginning to provide a contrast.

Hill areas such as Mount Abu and some other locations can experience considerably cooler nights compared with the western desert districts.

As Rajasthan moves further away from the active monsoon period, the difference between daytime and nighttime temperatures may become increasingly noticeable in several locations.

However, temperatures can vary substantially from one district to another, so statewide averages should not be treated as conditions for every city.

Will Kota and Bharatpur Receive Rain?

Earlier outlooks and local reports had raised the possibility of some rainfall activity around the Kota and Bharatpur divisions later in the week.

However, the latest available information should be interpreted cautiously.

As of September 23, IMD's subdivision-level warning outlook does not show any significant weather warning for East Rajasthan on September 26.

The latest city forecast for Kota also currently points toward hazy or generally dry conditions rather than a significant rainfall spell.

Therefore, residents should not interpret earlier references to possible light rain as confirmation that Kota or Bharatpur will definitely receive rain.

A better approach is to check the latest district forecast or nowcast closer to September 26 because local conditions can change.

Mostly Dry Conditions Expected in Western Rajasthan

Western Rajasthan is likely to remain the drier part of the state as the southwest monsoon withdrawal progresses.

Cities and districts around Jaisalmer, Barmer, Bikaner and Jodhpur may continue experiencing strong sunshine and relatively high daytime temperatures.

The latest IMD warning outlook currently shows no significant weather warning for West Rajasthan through September 29.

That does not guarantee identical weather in every district, but it indicates that no major hazardous weather event is presently flagged at the subdivision level.

What Did Recent Weather Observations Show?

Recent observations have highlighted the contrast between Rajasthan's western and eastern regions.

Western stations have been recording very high daytime temperatures, while parts of southern and southeastern Rajasthan have retained comparatively more moisture.

For example, recent IMD station observations showed Jaisalmer and Bikaner among the hotter locations, while Kota remained comparatively cooler.

This pattern is consistent with the broader transition taking place as monsoon conditions retreat from northwestern Rajasthan.

What Should Residents Expect Next?

The overall weather trend for Rajasthan is moving toward drier post-monsoon conditions, particularly across western districts.

Afternoons may remain hot despite the approaching end of September, while nights can gradually become more comfortable in some areas.

For East Rajasthan, including Kota and Bharatpur divisions, residents should watch short-range forecasts rather than assuming that rain predicted several days earlier will definitely occur.

Weather forecasts can change as atmospheric systems develop or weaken. For this reason, the latest district-level forecast and nowcast should always be given priority over an older multi-day outlook.

For September 23, however, the main message remains clear: Rajasthan is largely experiencing dry weather, the monsoon withdrawal is progressing, and no significant weather warning is currently in force for either East or West Rajasthan.